Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Flynn Flammed

You can tell when a Republican is in the White House. Every potential misstep is Watergate, and every potential misstepper is Adolf Hitler. The day when this finally wears thin and people wise up to the media and democrat theatrics can't come too soon. At least we're all getting brushed up on the finer points of obscure 218 year old never once used laws. How about that Logan act eh? What would we do without it?

Michael Flynn is gone. I say good riddance. Trump can do better. Flynn now has the distinction of having been hired by two presidents in a row and let go by two presidents in a row (Obama and Trump). Bye Felicia.

There are a few possible scenarios about Mr. Flynn's wild, and brief, ride and mostly they all end with it being the right thing to do to let him go. Yes there are other miscreants in the mix, but that doesn't absolve Flynn of his sin.  A few possibilities;

Scenario 1 - Accepting the public narrative

  • A reporter reveals Flynn engaged in conversations with Russia's ambassador to the US, Sergey Kislyak, on December 29th (the day Obama announced sanctions).
  • Reporter wonders "What did Flynn say, and did it undercut the U.S. sanctions?".
  • Flynn told VP Pence that he did not talk about improper stuff with Sergey.
  • Pence supported his guy and publicly made false statements based on the bad info that Flynn gave him about not discussing the stuff.
  • Routine FBI surveillance of Sergey revealed that Flynn did talk about the stuff with Sergey.
  • Flynn confessed, apologized, and resigned.
Best case with this scenario is that the Trump admin has a NSA that will lie to them to cover his backside. It shouldn't have taken days to ask for his resignation in this scenario. Your NSA lies to you, you fire him. Once is once too much.
Scenario 2 - Conspiracy theory 1
Start with scenario 1 and add the possibility that Pence actually knew that Flynn had talked about the stuff at the time he was defending Flynn. In this scenario Pence's public presentation was a bluff. When it got called, scenario 2 became scenario 1 for all intents an purposes. The appearance that you have an NSA that lies to you becomes the public's reality and the NSA still gets fired.
Scenario 3 - Conspiracy theory 2
Add to scenario 2 the possibility that the December message to Sergey was sent on behalf of Trump/Pence. Here Flynn hasn't actually done anything on his own to put the administration in a tough spot. The ensuing theater around the issue still presents some difficulty in keeping Flynn, but there is the possibility that the administration might have stood by a loyal team member and just rode it out.
Scenario 4 - The big conspiracy theory
Consider the possibility that Mike Flynn was actually a focus of the surveillance. Flynn is a US citizen and stuff isn't supposed to be collected on him without a warrant. The information that was leaked shouldn't have been available to be leaked. The FBI investigation would have had to include looking for something like collusion between Russia and the Trump team for the leak to have been just a simple leak. 
Of course this scenario still leads into one of the first three, so still a better than 2 in 3 chance Flynn gets the boot.
All of the hoopla from the left about this being a scandal for the Trump administration is misdirected. If there is a real crisis that needs to be investigated here(and I think there is), it's with the retention of surveillance data on a US citizen, or the possibility that the warrant covered Trump team members, and of course the subsequent leaking of the surveillance. Two of these, The leaking and retention without a warrant, should result in charges against the people involved. The third involves the possibility that the warrant covered Michael Flynn, and the implications of that are enormous.

There is a fair amount of chatter that Flynn getting ousted is all the media's fault and they brought down one of Trump's inner circle. That's a pile of pasture puddles. The king of media trolling is the guy that just accepted Flynn's resignation. It's unlikely that Michael Flynn is out for any reason other than Michael Flynn. The silver lining is that Trump has an opportunity to trade up.

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Still partying like 1965

In 1965 US immigration policy officially became a weapon aimed at the heart of American culture. Those things that promoted or protected traditional American political and social philosophy were diminished, while those things that encouraged political and social change were expanded. There were no significant populist elements propelling immigration policy in this direction. The move was driven by political elites intent on making America less American through immigration policy.

After more than 50 years of anti-American emphasis in US immigration policy the idea that some effort might be made to introduce America-centric elements into that policy is being received as a declaration of war by the left. For far too long the left/right debate over immigration has been treated as disagreements between factions that both want what is best for America. The reality is that in these decades when America should have been promoting Americanism abroad, America's political elites have worked to globalize American culture at home while working to remove the elements of American exceptionalism from the cheap generic democratic reforms promoted through US foreign policy.

Burdened with a left-wing that hates the idea of American exceptionalism, and a Republican Party that doesn't think it's worth making a fuss over, the march of America toward a "salad bowl" reflection of the global community is as predictable as it is inevitable. Only in an environment where the political powers see transformational immigration as a goal, or as something they just don't worry about, does the lawlessness we've witnessed surrounding US immigration become a possibility.

For the left, the governance of any nation is a potential archetype for global governance. The idea of making the world look more like America is rejected in favor of making America look more like the world. Citizens of western nations watch agape as their politicians show no sympathy for those citizen's concerns of potential cultural identity clashes in the face of a staggering influx of immigrants and refugees with which they have virtually nothing in common.

To the left, Islam is just a sub-culture in a border-free, America-free, Utopian world - a world that they can exploit, manage, and centrally plan. The favoritism toward immigrants that are more different from existing or traditional US population clarifies the true goals of the US approach to immigration as little else can. A pogrom has been taking place against Christian populations in the middle east, yet they have been virtually unrepresented among recent middle eastern refugees bound for America. This clearly gives the lie to the idea that these programs are about compassion for refugees.

In this case the cynical view is the rational view. The refugee crisis is simply an opportunity to be exploited by the left in it's ongoing assault on America. The motive is the opposite of love or compassion. Further evidence is seen in the left's view of immigrants from Mexico versus their view of immigrants from Cuba. Immigrants from mexico are more amenable to left-wing political views, immigrants from Cuba are not. What seems like the application of a double standard toward these two populations is simply a consistent standard of what best serves the left-wing political agenda to de-Americanize the United States.

For evidence that left-wing elitists see themselves as citizens of the world first, and citizens of America when it suits their sensibilities, we need look no further than NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo's recent declaration that deportations should start with him. Cuomo is not an immigrant by any measure. His statement makes it clear that he sees America as no more than a member state of a global society which holds his first loyalty. In equating his actual birth-right citizenship with the status held by an illegal immigrant, he also reveals his sense that no member of the human race should be considered more or less American than any other under the law. There is no common ground in this position for starting anything resembling a reasonable debate.

It's time to start calling the America haters out for what they are, and stop responding to their theatrical accusations that anyone who disagrees with their immigration positions is anti-immigrant. There is no potential constructive outcome to be gained by being defensive toward people that could not care less what your motivation is for resisting them. I don't care why the left hates America, or why they are threatened by American exceptionalism or first principles, or why they recoil at the idea of an American melting pot. I just want their anti-American agenda defeated. Conversely, the left does't care why I think the American idea is worth protecting and preserving, they just see it as an obstacle. Hating America simply needs to become much less popular in America.

Obama provided the most succinct summary of the left's antipathy toward America when he boasted about being "days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America" to a cheering crowd...of Americans. This is the agenda of the American left in a nutshell. It's time for people that love America to recognize that they don't need to justify their resistance to the left's efforts to fundamentally transform their country. It's been time since 1965.